https://archive.ph/bphiD

In the link you sent

His net approval rating in our average dropped from -12.0 on Monday to -12.9 today.

RCP is actually showing a higher approval rating than my linked one from Nate Silver.

I think the important part is that the RCP one is also headed down

In RealClearPolitics’ straightforward polling averages, Trump’s net job approval dropped from minus-8.6 percent on January 9 to minus-13.2 percent a week later.

Also

The freshest polling is unusually negative, with CNN showing minus-19 percent net approval (40 percent approval, 59 percent disapproval).

Public opinion might change in a week when we get distracted with the next thing, and I think either way it’s going to have to get a lot more intensely negative to have any kind of impact, but I think at least there is good reason to believe that most Americans are upset by the murder of Renee Good specifically and ICE brutalizing the country generally

Come to the realization this whole country should have come to back in the 1960s when they were actively recruiting KKK members and accept that there is no reforming the Republican party and that their organization must be shoved into the dustbin of history

Good news is fewer people self identify as Republican than basically ever before, so things are actually headed in the right direction with public opinion

Except there are fewer people identifying as Republican than ever before so that statistic doesn’t mean all that much. When people go from approving to disapproving of Trump they just leave the GOP because it’s a cult that is extremely hostile to dissent, so the ratio of Republicans who approve of him stays high while his popularity with the general public continues to go down.

That page is still showing his average dropping a whole point in less than a week, and it seems like almost everyone else is showing an even more pronounced slide (arc)

In RealClearPolitics’ straightforward polling averages, Trump’s net job approval dropped from minus-8.6 percent on January 9 to minus-13.2 percent a week later. Silver Bulletin’s more nuanced averages place his net approval at pretty much the same place: minus-13.1 percent. At the relatively new FiftyPlusOne site, Trump’s net approval is all the way down to minus-16 percent. The freshest polling is unusually negative, with CNN showing minus-19 percent net approval (40 percent approval, 59 percent disapproval). Marist is showing minus-18 percent net approval (39 percent approval, 57 percent disapproval), and Reuters-Ipsos is showing minus-17 percent net approval (41 percent approval, 58 percent disapproval). For a while now, even Trump’s favorite polling outlet, Rasmussen Reports, has placed his job approval well underwater (net approval is minus-8 percent now).

Actually, Gallup says we’re 27% Republican, 27% Democratic, and 45% independent (arc. What’s driving these numbers is the fact that the Republican party is a cult -

9 in 10 Republicans back Trump.

Because our elected officials refuse to talk like this and many constantly stress how bipartisan they try to be with everything. Saying “about 35% of this country are raving psychopaths who can not be compromised with and must be disempowered” is not an easy feel good campaign message but it’s what people need to hear.

I mean, I was already pretty amazed by the notion that convicting Ross of murder just based on the videos everyone’s already seen could be anything other than easy, but that’s the American legal system for you

I’m pretty sure they were going to do that anyway just because it will be a huge windfall for businesses who were able to pass tariff costs along to consumers but will be the only ones getting refunded anyway, but, yeah, Trump’s aggressive idiocy is really making it easy for them

Whenever push comes to shove the New York Times will side with power over truth

The level of delusion required to believe that the finance industry would ever try to make the world a better place without being forced to do so is unfathomable

Yeah, the way it’s phrased it definitely seems like they want to make things worse by blaming voters for behaving like voters instead of focusing criticism on the elected officials who refuse to really attack the Republican party and its policies and end up demoralizing everyone

If you want people to vote for us when there isn’t a Republican in the White House then we need to push for leaders who

1. Consistently tell people Republicans are bad people with bad ideas.
2. Tell people creating ICE and DHS were Republican ideas and they need to be gotten rid of because Republicans have bad ideas.
3. Tell people things were better back in the 90s before ICE existed because we didn’t let Republicans’ bad ideas ruin everything and we could just go back to what we were doing then.
4. Publicly disown anyone who tries to campaign with Republicans or says anything positive about them.

Deviating from those things only loses us votes.

e; deleted something that was needlessly proactive

Absolutely, if only to make it really clear to future Americans that this kind of behavior from a government agency is completely unacceptable and leads to real consequences. Besides that, it’s a way easier policy lift than Defund the Police - we could just go back to how we did things in the 90s and bring back Immigration and Naturalization Services, who were more like DMV workers making sure paperwork was in order than the psychopath gun wielding spec ops wannabes that have always made up Immigration and Customs Enforcement.

Of course, since this is such an obvious good idea, the second worst group of people in America are going into overdrive right now - “Dems Are Begging Their Own to Drop ‘Abolish ICE’ - A new memo circulating on Capitol Hill urges Democratic lawmakers to instead embrace reforming the agency.” (arc)

Nothing matters until suddenly it does matter

Fair point, but I’ll take empty posturing that people might run further with than Walz actually wants them to over stuff like

• Mayor Jacob Frey Says ‘I Do Not Support Abolishing ICE’ After Telling Agents to ‘Get the F*ck Out of Minneapolis’ (arc)

and

• Schumer and Jeffries Refuse to Back Growing Democratic Calls to Defund ICE (arc)

Good luck, and tell your insurance company I said they’re a bunch of bums

Were they actually restored? Unless I missed something, the only evidence presented for that is an anonymous federal government employee, which is an organization that’s been known to lie about a lot of stuff. Until one of these orgs confirms the money is in their accounts acting like the feds have definitely reversed course here is premature.

Agree with everything you say except the last sentence. Long term I don’t think there’s anywhere people can flee to that will put them beyond the reach of the US government. It has to be confronted and stopped.